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Tropical Storm ROSLYN Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 260835
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016
0900 UTC MON SEP 26 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 119.5W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 119.5W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 119.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.2N 119.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.1N 117.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.4N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 24.6N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 119.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART