Tropical Storm BLANCA Forecast/Advisory

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 061222
TCMEP3
TROPICAL STORM BLANCA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032009
1230 UTC MON JUL 06 2009

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 06/1230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 111.8W AT 06/1230Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 111.2W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.5N 113.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.3N 115.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.9N 117.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.4N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.0N 121.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 20.5N 123.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 111.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN