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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 252031
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016
2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.6W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.6W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 119.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.8N 119.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.4N 119.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.2N 118.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.1N 118.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 24.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 119.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN