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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 010241
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 390SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 138.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 137.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.6N 139.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.2N 140.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.8N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 142.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 143.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 144.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 138.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 01-Sep-2015 02:41:41 UTC