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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 280841
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
0900 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.2W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.2W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 121.6W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.9N 124.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.1N 126.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N 129.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.4N 132.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.4N 137.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 18.6N 142.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N 147.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 122.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN