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Tropical Storm ROSLYN Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 261442
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016
1500 UTC MON SEP 26 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.4W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.4W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 119.6W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N 118.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 19.7N 117.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 117.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.2N 118.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 119.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 119.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN