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0 Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ22 KNHC 110303
TCMEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                           
0430 UTC WED JUN 11 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 3.4S TO THE 
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUN 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUN 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUN 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 15.2N 103.9W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC
JUN 11 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55
KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF
CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE 
AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 15.8N 106.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 17.2N 109.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 18.7N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 19.6N 113.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 20.0N 115.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF LINE FROM 30N125W TO 19N135W TO 18N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N130W TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.S OF 04N W OF 92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 04N W OF 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N W OF 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED JUN 11...                     
.TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...                
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N110W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 08N113W TO 
07N130W. ITCZ FROM 07N130W TO BEYOND 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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Page last modified: Wednesday, 11-Jun-2014 03:04:10 UTC