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Hurricane IGNACIO Forecast Advisory


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ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122015
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 139.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 139.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 141.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 143.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.4N 144.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 146.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 19.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 139.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCMPA3...WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO...AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/HNL/CPHC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


NNNN


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Page last modified: Thursday, 27-Aug-2015 21:16:53 UTC