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Tropical Storm KARINA Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 210837
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 136.2W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 136.2W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 136.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.3N 136.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.1N 135.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.6N 134.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.5N 128.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 28.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 136.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG





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Page last modified: Thursday, 21-Aug-2014 08:37:13 UTC