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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 291442
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  84.3W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  84.3W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  84.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.9N  85.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.4N  86.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 26.1N  86.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.6N  83.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.5N  79.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 34.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  84.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH