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000
WTNT23 KNHC 160833
TCMAT3

HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
0900 UTC WED AUG 16 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  68.4W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  18 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  68.4W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  69.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 37.7N  64.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 40.0N  58.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  40SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 43.2N  50.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  50SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE 120SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 47.0N  42.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 120SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 54.0N  33.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 55.5N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 57.5N  12.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  68.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI