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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT23 KNHC 281442
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016
1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PART OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  70.0W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  70.0W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  69.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.1N  71.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 32.9N  73.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 33.6N  74.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 34.2N  75.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 36.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 39.0N  66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  70.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN