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Hurricane GASTON Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT22 KNHC 311440
TCMAT2

HURRICANE GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
1500 UTC WED AUG 31 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GASTON.  A
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  48.6W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 160SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  48.6W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  49.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 35.2N  46.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 130SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.9N  41.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  40SE  35SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 140SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 38.0N  36.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  35SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.8N  32.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 120SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 40.0N  24.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.0N  18.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.0N  48.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE