Hurricane IDA Forecast/Advisory

000
WTNT21 KNHC 082039
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
2100 UTC SUN NOV 08 2009

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM
GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA.  THIS WATCH DOES NOT
INCLUDE THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN AND FROM
CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO SAN FELIPE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
PINAR DEL RIO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.  ADDITIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR MONDAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  86.3W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  86.3W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  86.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.9N  87.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.7N  88.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE  75SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 29.2N  87.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW 115NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.7N  86.7W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE  90SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 31.0N  83.0W...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  75SE  75SW  45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.0N  79.5W...EXTRATROPICAL OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  86.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN