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Post-Tropical Cyclone LINDA Forecast Discussion

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WTPZ45 KNHC 102032

200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2015

Linda is now a swirl of low clouds that has been devoid of deep
convection for more than 12 hours. Based on the lack of convection,
Linda is now a post-tropical cyclone and this will be the last NHC
advisory. The initial intensity is set to 30 kt based on a blend of
the latest Dvorak fixes from TAFB and SAB. The circulation of Linda
should gradually spin down over the next 2 to 3 days until the
cyclone dissipates.

The initial motion estimate remains 320/06. The remnant low should
gradually turn toward the west-northwest and then toward the west
over the next 2 days as the low becomes steered by the low-level
flow. A turn to the south of due west is shown at 72 hours. The new
NHC track forecast is a little to the north of the previous one
based on the latest trends in the track guidance.

Large swells from Linda are affecting the Pacific coast of the Baja
California peninsula and southern California. These swells could
continue for another day or so. In addition, some of Linda's mid-
and upper-level moisture is spreading northward into portions of the
southwestern U.S., which could trigger locally heavy rainfall. For
additional information, please consult products issued by the NOAA
Weather Prediction Center and your local NWS forecast office.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and on the web at


INIT  10/2100Z 26.4N 119.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  11/0600Z 26.9N 119.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1800Z 27.4N 120.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/0600Z 27.7N 121.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/1800Z 27.8N 122.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/1800Z 27.2N 123.2W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

Forecaster Brennan

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Page last modified: Thursday, 10-Sep-2015 20:32:44 UTC