788 
WTPZ44 KNHC 152038
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042025
200 PM MST Sun Jun 15 2025
 
Dalila's convection has collapsed, leaving behind a single
fragmented band of thunderstorms.  Subjective and objective
satellite estimates have lowered this cycle and the initial
intensity has been reduced to 40 kt based on a blend of the TAFB and
SAB Dvorak estimates. Dalila is expected to continue weakening as
the storm moves over cooler waters and into a hostile environment.
The NHC intensity forecast predicts Dalila to become a post-tropical
remnant low later today.
 
The storm is moving west-northwestward at 8 kt and should continue
gradually turning westward in the low-level flow. A more westward
motion is expected in the next day or two until the system
dissipates in a couple of days.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/2100Z 18.2N 108.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  16/0600Z 18.3N 109.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  16/1800Z 18.3N 111.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  17/0600Z 18.2N 113.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  17/1800Z 18.2N 115.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  18/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci