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Tropical Depression Ten-E Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ15 KNHC 221454
PWSEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102017               
1500 UTC SAT JUL 22 2017                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

15N 115W       34  5  50(55)  12(67)   3(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)
15N 115W       50  X   9( 9)   7(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
15N 115W       64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

10N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)  44(51)  14(65)   2(67)
15N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  10(27)   1(28)
15N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)

10N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)  15(27)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA