Tropical Storm Erick Wind Speed Probabilities
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000 FOPZ15 KNHC 172031 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM ERICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052025 2100 UTC TUE JUN 17 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) X(19) X(19) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 14(32) X(32) X(32) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 100W 34 X 4( 4) 15(19) 13(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ACAPULCO 34 X 3( 3) 11(14) 54(68) 6(74) X(74) X(74) ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 27(28) 8(36) X(36) X(36) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) P MALDONADO 34 1 5( 6) 50(56) 32(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) 14(14) 51(65) 2(67) X(67) X(67) P MALDONADO 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 36(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) P ANGEL 34 2 44(46) 28(74) 2(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) P ANGEL 50 X 6( 6) 23(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) P ANGEL 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) HUATULCO 34 1 14(15) 21(36) 1(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) HUATULCO 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HUATULCO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 10N 95W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 95W 34 5 26(31) 7(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 15N 95W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SALINA CRUZ 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TAPACHULA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG