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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ13 KNHC 242031
PWSEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
2100 UTC WED AUG 24 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 110W       34 27   X(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)

20N 110W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   4( 4)  34(38)  21(59)   7(66)   X(66)   X(66)
ISLA CLARION   50  X   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 115W       34  X   3( 3)  12(15)   6(21)   3(24)   1(25)   X(25)

20N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)   8(25)   1(26)   X(26)
20N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   8(20)   1(21)
15N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
15N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

20N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)  18(42)   1(43)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   X(13)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  10(20)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  14(31)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN