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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Wind Speed Probabilities


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000
FOPZ13 KNHC 251651
PWSEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E                                      
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1                         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016               
1700 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016                                            

AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM        
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

15N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

15N 120W       34  4   3( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

20N 120W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN