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Tropical Depression EIGHT Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT13 KNHC 290854
PWSAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082016               
0900 UTC MON AUG 29 2016                                            

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   8(13)   4(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   9(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X  13(13)  15(28)  13(41)   3(44)   X(44)   X(44)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   8( 8)  10(18)   6(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
CHERRY PT NC   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X  14(14)  12(26)   8(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
NEW RIVER NC   50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X  11(11)  12(23)   6(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   5( 5)   6(11)   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN