Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Post-Tropical Cyclone COLIN Wind Speed Probabilities


Home   Public Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
FONT13 KNHC 072019
PWSAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032016               
2100 UTC TUE JUN 07 2016                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)  19(19)   8(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN