Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Wind Speed Probabilities


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  

U.S. Watch/Warning   Local Products  

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  70      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017               
2100 UTC FRI SEP 22 2017                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HYANNIS MA     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NANTUCKET MA   34  4   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW LONDON CT  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONTAUK POINT  34  3   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLIP NY       34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
NNNN