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Tropical Storm Jose Wind Speed Probabilities


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FONT12 KNHC 211436
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  65             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017               
1500 UTC THU SEP 21 2017                                            

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                                          

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

YARMOUTH NS    34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AUGUSTA ME     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PORTLAND ME    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CONCORD NH     34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  3   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

WORCESTER MA   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

BOSTON MA      34  5   4( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)

HYANNIS MA     34 14   6(20)   4(24)   1(25)   3(28)   X(28)   X(28)

NANTUCKET MA   34 23   9(32)   4(36)   2(38)   3(41)   X(41)   X(41)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  8   5(13)   3(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  3   2( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)

HARTFORD CT    34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)

NEW LONDON CT  34  6   4(10)   4(14)   1(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ALBANY NY      34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MONTAUK POINT  34  8   6(14)   4(18)   1(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)

ISLIP NY       34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NEWARK NJ      34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI