Tropical Depression HENRI Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT45 KNHC 082036
TCDAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102009
500 PM AST THU OCT 08 2009

VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DEVOURED YET ANOTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE THIS
YEAR.  SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT HENRI HAS ONLY A WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION WITH ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WELL REMOVED FROM THE
CENTER.  THUS...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON HENRI ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  BASED ON THE DEGRADED SATELLITE
APPEARANCE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT.  ALTHOUGH
THE SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY TURNED TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...MOST OF THE
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THE LOW-LEVEL REMNANTS WILL MOVE WESTWARD
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      08/2100Z 20.4N  62.2W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     09/0600Z 20.6N  64.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     09/1800Z 20.5N  66.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     10/0600Z 20.5N  69.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     10/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE