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Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook



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This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next 48 hours. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.


Tropical Weather Outlook Text
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED AUG 24 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Satellite imagery suggests that a tropical depression may be forming
about 450 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  If this system's
trend toward greater organization continues, then advisories will be
initiated later today or tonight.  The system is forecast to move
west-northwestward and then westward over the next several days away
from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with another area of low
pressure located about 1150 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula continue to show some signs of
organization.  Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by this weekend while the low moves westward or west-
northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain