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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 13 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Jova, located a few hundred miles west-northwest of
Socorro Island.

1. A surface trough located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco,
Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
conducive for development in a few days, and a tropical depression
could form late this week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, in a few days.  Although
environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for
development, the system's proximity to the disturbance to the east
could inhibit the chances of formation.  The low is forecast to move
slowly westward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Roberts




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