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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON OCT 19 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Olaf, located about 1280 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of
Hawaii.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity extending several hundred miles
off the coast of Guatemala and southern Mexico is associated with
a low pressure system located about 220 miles southeast of Puerto
Escondido, Mexico.  Although strong northerly winds blowing over
the Gulf of Tehuantepec are temporarily inhibiting development,
environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical
depression to form during the next day or two while the low moves
west-northwestward or northwestward offshore of the coast of
southeastern Mexico.  Interests along the south-central and
southwestern coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of this
system during the next few days.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rains are possible over portions of southern Mexico,
Guatemala, and El Salvador during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Roberts




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