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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy, located several hundred miles east of 
Bermuda.

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a couple of hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas 
continue to show signs of organization.  A short-lived tropical 
depression or storm is likely to form later today or tonight while 
the system moves west-northwestward.  By Tuesday, however, strong 
upper-level winds and dry air should end the chances of further 
development.  An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to 
investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the 
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Gradual development 
thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at 
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Bucci