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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic about midway between the Windward Islands and western 
Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.   Satellite data indicate that the low-level 
circulation continues to become better defined and, since 
environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for 
further development, a tropical depression is likely to form within 
a few days.  This system is forecast to move westward to 
west-northwestward across the central and western tropical Atlantic 
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Blake