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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 10 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde 
Islands continue to show signs of organization.  Environmental  
conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two 
while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward across 
the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
An area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
is producing limited and disorganized shower and thunderstorm 
activity.  This system is forecast to merge with a developing 
frontal boundary over the western Gulf of Mexico early Wednesday, 
and tropical cyclone formation is not expected.  Regardless of 
tropical cyclone development, the system is forecast to produce 
gale-force winds over portions of the northern Gulf of Mexico by 
tomorrow, and potentially heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast by the 
latter portion of this week. For more information, see products from 
your local National Weather Service office, and high seas forecasts 
issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brown




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