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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 6 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Lee, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far 
eastern Atlantic, which are beginning to spread over the Cabo Verde 
Islands.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form later this week while moving toward the west-northwest at about 
15 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.  The low is 
expected to move across the Cabo Verde Islands overnight and early 
Thursday, and interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with Post-Tropical 
Cyclone Franklin, located a few hundred miles west-northwest of the 
northwestern coast of Spain, has changed little in organization 
today.  This system could briefly acquire some subtropical or 
tropical characteristics while it moves northward and then meanders 
northwest of Spain and Portugal overnight and on Thursday, but 
environmental conditions appear to become unfavorable for further 
development by Thursday night.  For additional information, 
including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo 
France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header 
FQNT50 LFPW and online at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2

Forecaster Berg