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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 1 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Idalia, located a few hundred miles west of 
Bermuda, on Tropical Storm Jose, located several hundred miles 
east-northeast of Bermuda, and has resumed advisories on Tropical 
Depression Gert, located several hundred miles east-southeast of 
Bermuda.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
Recent microwave satellite images indicate the circulation of a low 
pressure system located west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has 
become better defined since yesterday. In addition, the associated 
shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of 
organization. Based on these trends, advisories are likely to be 
initiated on a tropical depression or tropical storm later this 
morning. The system is moving northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across 
the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa 
this weekend. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some 
gradual development of this system during the early and middle 
parts of next week, and a tropical depression could form while it 
moves westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central 
portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Public Advisories on Gert are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC 
and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Gert are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC 
and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Reinhart