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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 31 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located north-northeast of Bermuda, on Tropical Storm 
Idalia, located along the South Carolina coast, and on Tropical 
Depression Eleven, located several hundred miles east-southeast of 
Bermuda.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
An area of low pressure located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands 
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms that are gradually 
becoming better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form over the next couple of days while the system 
moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the eastern 
tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gert):
Earlier satellite wind data indicated that a well-defined 
circulation has re-developed with the remnants of Gert, located 
several hundred miles north of the northern Leeward Islands. 
However, shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited. This 
system has a short window for further development later today before 
environmental conditions become more unfavorable by this weekend, as 
the system drifts slowly northeastward or eastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Papin