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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located a couple of hundred miles west-northwest of 
Bermuda, on Hurricane Idalia, near the coast of the Florida Big 
Bend, and on Tropical Depression Eleven, located several hundred 
miles east-southeast of Bermuda.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located 
near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form later this week while the system 
initially moves west-northwestward and then turns northwestward 
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gert):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure 
(the remnants of Gert) are located several hundred miles to the 
north of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions do 
not appear to be that favorable for additional development over the 
next couple of days as the system drifts slowly northward or north- 
northeastward.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable 
for development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Kelly/Reinhart