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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 26 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Franklin, located several hundred miles south of Bermuda.

1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of 
organization in association with an area of low pressure located 
near the Yucatan Channel.  Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next day or two while it moves generally 
northward over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.  Interests in the 
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, western Cuba, and Florida should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with 
a broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles 
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.  Environmental 
conditions could become more conducive for development over the 
next few days, and a tropical depression could form early next week 
while the system moves generally northwestward over the central 
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa 
early next week. Some slow development of this system is possible 
during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward 
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Pasch