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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 26 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Franklin, located a couple of hundred miles east of the Turks 
and Caicos Islands.

1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of 
organization in association with an area of low pressure over the 
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for further development of this system during the next 
several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this 
weekend or early next week while it moves generally northward over 
the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula of 
Mexico, western Cuba, and Florida should monitor the progress of 
this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with 
a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental 
conditions could become more conducive for development over the 
weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while 
the system moves generally northwestward over the central 
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa 
early next week. Some slow development of this system is possible 
during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward 
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Bucci