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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Ophelia, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean more than 300 miles
east of the easternmost Azores.

1. A broad trough of low pressure centered over the Virgin Islands and
the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
squalls over portions of the Leeward Islands and adjacent Atlantic
waters. This activity is expected to spread across the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico later this morning and continue into the
afternoon. Upper-level winds are forecast to remain hostile for any
significant development to occur during the next day or two.
However, the environment could become somewhat more conducive for
development by early next week when the system begins to move
northward and then recurves over the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Stewart




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