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NHC Graphical Outlook Archive



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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 12 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, and the northeastern Caribbean Sea in
association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Grace. Upper-level
winds are not expected to be favorable for redevelopment of this
system during the next several days. However, heavy rain and gusty
winds are possible across portions of the Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, and Hispaniola during the next day or two while the system
moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent

2. A tropical wave located south of the Cape Verde Islands is
currently producing minimal shower activity. However, environmental
conditions are forecast to become favorable for some gradual
development of this wave next week while it moves generally westward
to west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

3. A small low pressure system located about 1000 miles southwest of
the Azores is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development, if any, of this low is expected to be slow to occur
while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph over
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Brennan




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