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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles
northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.  Upper-level winds
are currently marginally conducive, and some slow development of
this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it
moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
Afterwards, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

2. A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna, is
moving inland over Belize while it produces disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Now that the low is moving inland, significant
re-development is unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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