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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located just west of Bermuda have decreased in coverage since this
morning.  Upper-level winds are expected to become unfavorable for
development tonight and Tuesday, and the likelihood of subtropical
or tropical cyclone formation has decreased. This system is expected
to move generally northward during the next couple of days with
increasing forward speed. Regardless of development, the low could
produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds over Bermuda through
tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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