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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located just west of Bermuda have become a little better organized
overnight and this morning.  This system could become a subtropical
cyclone today before upper-level winds become unfavorable tonight
and Tuesday.  This system is expected to move northwestward and then
northward during the next couple of days with increasing forward
speed. Regardless of development, the low will produce locally heavy
rains and strong gusty winds over Bermuda through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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