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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU SEP 11 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
centered about 750 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands has become
better organized during the past several hours.  If current trends
continue, a tropical depression could form later today or tonight
while the low moves toward the west-northwest and northwest at about
15 mph over the open Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Shower activity associated with a weak low pressure area near the
northwestern Bahamas is currently poorly organized, and the Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission scheduled for today has been
canceled.  Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for
significant development while the low moves slowly westward or
west-southwestward toward southern Florida.  Regardless of
development, this low will bring locally heavy rains to portions of
southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next couple of
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Beven




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