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Graphical TWO epac Click for AtlanticClick for Central Pacific

GIS data:  .shp
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 19 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AROUND MIDWEEK.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS WHILE IT MOVES 
NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.

2. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  ALTHOUGH LITTLE
OR NO DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE LATER IN THE WEEK. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
WHILE IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OR MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013.  COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

FORECASTER BROWN


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