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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Pilar Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192023
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 29 2023
 
...DEPRESSION INTENSIFIES INTO TROPICAL STORM PILAR...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED IN CENTRAL AMERICA
THIS WEEK AS PILAR MOVES CLOSER TO LAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 92.0W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SW OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
ABOUT 395 MI...630 KM W OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Honduras has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the entire Pacific coast of Honduras including the Gulf of
Fonseca.
 
The government of Nicaragua has issued a Tropical Storm Watch from
the Honduras and Nicaragua border southward to Puerto Sandino.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador
* Pacific coast of Honduras including the Gulf of Fonseca
* Honduras/Nicaragua border southward to Puerto Sandino.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
Interests in along the Pacific coasts of Guatemala and Nicaragua
should monitor the progress of this system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Pilar was 
located near latitude 11.0 North, longitude 92.0 West. Pilar is 
moving toward the east-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a continued 
east-northeastward motion is anticipated for the next couple of 
days.  On the forecast track, Pilar could be near the coast 
of El Salvador on Tuesday night or early Wednesday, though the core 
of the system is forecast to stay offshore.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast over the 
next couple of days, and Pilar could be near hurricane strength by 
Tuesday. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Pilar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Pilar is expected to produce storm total 
rainfall of 5 to 10 inches, with local amounts to 15 inches, in and 
around much of the Pacific coast of Central America, including the 
country of El Salvador, through Wednesday.  This rainfall will 
produce flash and urban flooding, along with mudslides in areas of 
higher terrain.

SURF:  Swells generated by Pilar are expected to reach portions of 
the Pacific coast of Central America on Monday. These swells are 
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions could begin in the Tropical
Storm Watch area early on Tuesday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin
 
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