Tropical Storm PILAR

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TROPICAL STORM PILAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192023
0300 UTC FRI NOV 03 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  99.2W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  99.2W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  98.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 10.0N 101.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z  9.7N 105.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z  9.6N 108.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z  9.8N 110.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.1N 112.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 10.8N 114.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 11.8N 116.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 13.6N 118.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  99.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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