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HURRICANE NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172023
0900 UTC THU OCT 19 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 107.7W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 107.7W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.5N 108.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.6N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.8N 109.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.3N 109.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.0N 109.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.4N 109.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 24.0N 108.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 107.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 19/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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