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Tropical Depression Max Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP162023
1000 PM CDT Mon Oct 09 2023
 
After making landfall earlier today in southern Mexico, the 
satellite presentation of Max has degraded somewhat this evening, 
and the center of circulation has become more ill-defined. However, 
deep convection remains along and near the coast, which is likely 
producing flooding rainfall as the system moves over the higher
terrain of southern Mexico. Based on recent observations from 
coastal Mexico and satellite trends, Max is downgraded to a 
depression for this advisory, with the intensity set at 30 kt.

Max is moving north-northeastward at 030/6 kt and should continue 
on this trajectory until it dissipates late tonight or tomorrow. 
Once the system dissipates, the remnants of Max will continue 
to move north-northeastward and still have the potential to produce 
life-threatening flooding across the higher terrain of Mexico over 
the next day or so.
 
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Max is forecast to continue producing gusty winds through 
tonight to portions of the southern coast of Mexico.
 
2. Heavy rains from Max will likely produce flash and urban
flooding, along with possible mudslides in areas of higher terrain
across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/0300Z 18.1N 100.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  10/1200Z 18.8N 100.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  11/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
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Forecaster Hogsett/Brown
 
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