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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192023
0900 UTC THU OCT 12 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  36.7W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  36.7W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  36.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.0N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.8N  39.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.8N  41.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N  42.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.3N  43.9W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.2N  45.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  36.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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