Tropical Storm SEAN

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TROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192023
2100 UTC WED OCT 11 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  35.3W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  35.3W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  34.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 12.1N  36.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.7N  38.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.4N  39.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 14.3N  41.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.3N  42.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.4N  43.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.1N  46.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N  50.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  35.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CAMPOSANO/CANGIALOSI
 
 
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